Sampling Methods
Compare simple random sampling, stratified, cluster, and systematic sampling methods.
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🎯 Sampling Methods
Types of Sampling
Simple Random Sample (SRS)
- Every possible sample of size has equal chance of selection
- Use random number generator or table
- Advantages: unbiased, easy to analyze
- Disadvantages: may miss subgroups, expensive for large populations
Stratified Random Sample
- Divide population into homogeneous groups (strata)
- Randomly sample from each stratum
- Proportional allocation: sample size per stratum ∝ stratum size
- Advantages: ensures representation, reduces variability
- Example: sample 10% from each grade level separately
Cluster Sample
- Divide population into clusters (typically geographic)
- Randomly select clusters, measure all units in selected clusters
- Advantages: economical, practical for spread-out populations
- Disadvantages: less precise, within-cluster correlation inflates variance
- Example: randomly select 5 schools, test all students in those schools
Systematic Sample
- Order population, randomly select first unit, then every -th unit
- Quasi-random, practical for lists
- Danger: if list has hidden pattern aligned with , introduces bias
Multistage Sampling
- Combination of methods in stages
- Example: first cluster by state, then stratify by income within state, then SRS
- Used in complex surveys (e.g., National Health Interview Survey)
Convenience Sample
- Select easily accessible subjects (NOT probabilistic)
- High bias risk, results not generalizable
- Only appropriate for exploratory studies
Bias and When to Use Each Method
Undercoverage: some population members cannot be selected
- Risk in convenience sampling, cluster sampling
- Can lead to systematic bias toward accessible units
When to use each:
- SRS: diverse, accessible population, sufficient budget
- Stratified: population has natural groups; want subgroup estimates
- Cluster: population geographically dispersed, cost is concern
- Systematic: ordered list available, no hidden periodicity
- Multistage: complex population, multiple levels of variation
Common Mistakes
- Confusing stratified with cluster (stratified ensures each group represented; cluster assumes homogeneity within cluster)
- Using convenience sample and claiming it represents population
- Choosing without checking for patterns in sampling frame
Decision Rule
Check: Is population accessible? → SRS Check: Natural subgroups? → Stratified Check: Geographically dispersed? → Cluster Check: Ordered list? → Systematic
AP Exam Tip
"Describe a sampling method" essays require: define the method, identify strata/clusters, explain how randomization is implemented, and discuss any bias risks.
📚 Practice Problems
1Problem 1easy
❓ Question:
Explain the difference between a Simple Random Sample (SRS), a stratified sample, and a cluster sample. Give an example of when each would be appropriate.
💡 Show Solution
Simple Random Sample (SRS):
Every possible subset of size has an equal chance of being selected. Use random methods (random number generator, lottery) with no systematic pattern.
Example: Select 100 voters from a list of 10,000 registered voters by numbering them and using random digits.
Pros: Unbiased, conceptually simple Cons: Requires complete list; doesn't guarantee representation of subgroups
Stratified Sample:
Divide the population into strata (groups by characteristic), then randomly sample from each stratum.
Example: A university has 2,000 freshmen, 1,800 sophomores, 1,700 juniors, 1,500 seniors. To survey campus housing, randomly sample 40 from each class (proportional to size).
Pros: Ensures representation of each subgroup; more efficient for comparing groups Cons: Requires knowing strata beforehand; more complex
Cluster Sample:
Divide population into clusters (geographic or natural groups), randomly select a few clusters, then survey all or random sample within selected clusters.
Example: To survey 5,000 high school students across 50 schools, randomly select 5 schools, then survey all or random sample within those 5 schools.
Pros: Cost-efficient (less travel), practical for geographically dispersed populations Cons: May introduce bias if clusters are not representative; within-cluster similarity can distort results
When to use:
- SRS: Small population, complete list available
- Stratified: Known subgroups important to represent fairly
- Cluster: Large geographically dispersed population, cost constraints
2Problem 2medium
❓ Question:
A pollster stands outside a shopping mall on a Saturday and surveys every 10th person who walks by. Is this a probability sampling method? Identify the potential bias.
💡 Show Solution
Method type: This is systematic sampling (every 10th person) combined with convenience sampling (mall intercept). It appears to use a systematic rule but is actually non-probability because:
- Not everyone in the population has an equal (known) chance of selection
- Only people at the mall on Saturday are included
Potential biases:
-
Undercoverage: Missing people who don't visit malls (elderly, disabled, those who shop online, night-shift workers)
-
Temporal bias: Saturday shoppers differ from weekday shoppers (leisure vs. work-focused, different age/income mix)
-
Location bias: Mall shoppers differ from non-mall shoppers; may not represent the broader community
-
Voluntary response bias (if participation is optional): People willing to stop and answer differ from those in a hurry
Result: The sample is not representative. If surveying about shopping habits or product preferences, the results would overrepresent mall shoppers and be unreliable for the general population.
Better approach: Use true SRS from voter rolls or census data (if available) or conduct random-digit dialing for phone surveys.
3Problem 3hard
❓ Question:
A researcher wants to estimate average income in a city of 500,000. Evaluate three sampling plans: (A) SRS of 1,000 people, (B) Stratified sample (100 each from 10 neighborhoods), (C) Convenience sample (students from a local university). Which is best and why?
💡 Show Solution
Plan A: SRS of 1,000
Pros:
- Unbiased; every resident has equal chance
- Large enough (n=1,000) for reasonable precision
- No need to know neighborhood structure
Cons:
- Requires complete list of all 500,000 people (costly)
Plan B: Stratified sample (100 per neighborhood)
Pros:
- Ensures each neighborhood is represented
- Can compare income across neighborhoods
- More practical than getting a citywide list
- Better precision if neighborhoods are similar within but different between
Cons:
- Assumes neighborhoods are meaningful strata
- May still miss income groups (e.g., homeless, institutionalized)
Plan C: Convenience sample (university students)
Pros:
- Cheap and easy
Cons:
- Severely biased: University students are younger, better educated, and earn less (or earn future income) than city average
- Sample is not representative; results would underestimate true city average income
- This would be a terrible estimate
Best choice: Plan B (Stratified by neighborhood)
Reasoning:
- Better than A (more practical, avoids needing a complete citywide list)
- Much better than C (actually representative; reduces bias)
- Provides neighborhood-level insights
- Balances simplicity with statistical validity
Conclusion: C is obviously wrong (not representative). Between A and B, stratified sampling is more practical and achieves high precision with manageable data collection.
⚠️ Common Mistakes: Sampling Methods
Avoid these 3 frequent errors
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