Scatterplots and Line of Best Fit - Complete Interactive Lesson
Part 1: Data Analysis
Problem Solving: Ratios, Rates & Proportions
Part 1 of 7 — Setting Up and Solving Proportions
This is one of the most heavily tested topics on the SAT Math section. About 25-30% of Math questions fall under Problem Solving & Data Analysis.
Ratios
A ratio compares two quantities: If a recipe uses 3 cups flour to 2 cups sugar, the ratio is 3:2 or 3/2.
Setting Up Proportions
Cross-multiply to solve:
Unit Rates
A unit rate has a denominator of 1:
- 240 miles in 4 hours → 60 mph
- $45 for 3 shirts → $15 per shirt
SAT Trap: Mixing Up Parts and Wholes
If the ratio of boys to girls is 3:5, there are 8 total parts (not 5).
- Boys = 3/8 of total
- Girls = 5/8 of total
Dimensional Analysis
Convert units by multiplying fractions:
Deep Dive: Complex Ratio & Proportion Problems
Worked Example 1: Multi-Step Ratio
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Problem | "In a mixture, the ratio of water to concentrate is 5:2. If there are 21 total cups, how much water is needed?" |
| Total parts | parts |
| Each part | cups per part |
| Water | cups |
Worked Example 2: Unit Conversion Chain
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Problem | "A printer prints 12 pages per minute. How many pages in 2.5 hours?" |
| Convert hours → minutes | minutes |
| Calculate | pages |
Ratio vs. Fraction — Key Difference
| Statement | Ratio | Fraction of Total |
|---|---|---|
| "Boys to girls is 3:5" | Boys , Girls | |
| "Boys to total is 3:8" | Boys | |
| "3 out of every 5 are boys" | (boys:girls) | Boys |
Dimensional Analysis — Multi-Step
Convert 45 mph to feet per second:
Advanced Ratio & Proportion Problems 🎯
Ratio & Proportion Setup — Select the correct approach.
Part 1 Summary: Ratios, Rates & Proportions
| Concept | Formula | SAT Trap |
|---|---|---|
| Ratio | Part total | Confusing part:part with part:whole |
| Cross multiplication | → | Setting up the wrong proportion |
| Unit rate | Not reducing to denominator of 1 | |
| Dimensional analysis | Cancel matching units | Missing a conversion step |
Next: Percentages — increase, decrease, and successive changes →
Part 2: Scatterplots
Percentages: Increase, Decrease & Applications
Part 2 of 7 — Mastering Percent Problems
Percent Formula
Percent Increase/Decrease
Shortcut multipliers:
- 20% increase → multiply by 1.20
- 15% decrease → multiply by 0.85
- 8% tax → multiply by 1.08
Successive Percent Changes
A 10% increase followed by a 10% decrease is NOT back to the original:
SAT Classic: "What percent of X is Y?"
Translate directly: "What percent of 80 is 24?"
Percent vs. Percentage Points
"Increased from 40% to 52%" = increase of 12 percentage points but a 30% increase (12/40 × 100).
Deep Dive: Percent Problem Strategies
Worked Example 1: Finding Original Price
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Problem | "After a 30% discount, a jacket costs $56. What was the original price?" |
| Setup | You pay 70% of original: |
| Solve | |
| Common mistake | Adding 30% of 56: ← WRONG |
Worked Example 2: Successive Changes
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Problem | "A stock rises 25% one year, then drops 20% the next. Net change?" |
| Year 1 | |
| Year 2 | |
| Net change | — it returned to the original! |
| Shortcut | — multiply the multipliers |
Percent Multiplier Quick Reference
| Phrase | Multiplier | Example |
|---|---|---|
| 15% increase | ||
| 15% decrease | ||
| 6% tax on top | ||
| 40% of | ||
| Triple (200% increase) |
"Percent OF" vs. "Percent MORE THAN"
- "A is 25% of B" →
- "A is 25% more than B" →
- "A is 25% less than B" →
Advanced Percent Problems 🎯
Percent Multiplier Check — Select the correct multiplier.
Part 2 Summary: Percentages
| Concept | Formula |
|---|---|
| Percent of | |
| Percent change | |
| x% increase | Multiply by |
| x% decrease | Multiply by |
| Successive changes | Multiply the multipliers |
| Finding original | Divide by the multiplier |
SAT Traps
- Successive equal percent changes DON'T cancel out
- "A is 60% more than B" ≠ "B is 60% less than A"
- Always divide by the original for percent change
Next: Two-way tables and data interpretation →
Part 3: Probability
Two-Way Tables & Data Interpretation
Part 3 of 7 — Reading Tables and Finding Probabilities
Two-Way Tables
These organize data by two categories. Example:
| Freshman | Sophomore | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Male | 120 | 100 | 220 |
| Female | 130 | 150 | 280 |
| Total | 250 | 250 | 500 |
Conditional Probability from Tables
"What fraction of sophomores are female?"
- Look at the Sophomore column: 150 female out of 250 total = 150/250 = 3/5
"Given that" = Restrict to a Subgroup
"Given that a student is male, what is the probability they are a freshman?"
- Restrict to Male row: 120 freshman out of 220 male = 120/220 = 6/11
Marginal vs. Conditional
- Marginal: P(Female) = 280/500 — uses the grand total
- "From" questions: selected from the sophomores, P(female) = 150/250 — the named group's total is the denominator
Association vs. Independence
Two variables are independent if knowing one doesn't change the probability of the other.
- If the female rate among sophomores equals the female rate overall, the data show no associatiot
- If those probabilities differ, there's an association
Deep Dive: Navigating Two-Way Tables
Worked Example 1: Filling In a Table
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Problem | "200 employees: 120 full-time, 80 part-time. 90 have benefits; of those, 75 are full-time. Complete the table." |
| Full-time + benefits | |
| Full-time, no benefits | |
| Part-time + benefits | |
| Part-time, no benefits |
| Benefits | No Benefits | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time | 75 | 45 | 120 |
| Part-time | 15 | 65 | 80 |
| Total | 90 | 110 | 200 |
Worked Example 2: Testing for Independence
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Question | "Is having benefits independent of employment type?" |
| Probability a random employee gets benefits | |
| …selected from the full-time employees | |
| Compare | → NOT independent |
| Conclusion | Full-time employees are more likely to have benefits → there IS an association. |
Denominator Guide
| Question Phrasing | Denominator |
|---|---|
| "What fraction of ALL students...?" | Grand total |
| "What fraction of males...?" | Row total (Males) |
| "What fraction of freshmen...?" | Column total (Freshman) |
| "Among those who passed..." | Subtotal of those who passed |
SAT Trap: Joint vs. Conditional
- Joint: P(male AND freshman) (out of everyone)
- "From" questions: selected from the males, P(freshman) (males only)
Advanced Two-Way Table Problems 🎯
Pick the Right Denominator — What goes in the denominator for each question?
Part 3 Summary: Two-Way Tables
| Concept | Key Fact |
|---|---|
| Marginal probability | Uses the grand total as denominator |
| Conditional probability | Restricts to a row or column total |
| Joint probability | One specific cell ÷ grand total |
| Association check | Compare each group's rate — equal rates → no association |
| Filling in tables | Rows and columns must sum to their totals |
SAT Strategy
- Read the question word-for-word to find the correct denominator.
- "Given that" or "among" = conditional → use a subtotal.
- "Of all" = marginal → use the grand total.
Next: Statistics — mean, median, and standard deviation →
Part 4: Two-Way Tables
Statistics: Center, Spread & Shape
Part 4 of 7 — Mean, Median, Standard Deviation
Measures of Center
- Mean = sum of all values / count. Sensitive to outliers.
- Median = middle value when sorted. Resistant to outliers.
When to Use Mean vs. Median
- Symmetric data → mean ≈ median, use either
- Skewed data or outliers → median is more representative
Standard Deviation
Measures how spread out data is from the mean.
- Low SD → data points close to mean (consistent)
- High SD → data points far from mean (variable)
You won't calculate SD on the SAT, but you must compare SDs:
- {10, 10, 10, 10, 10} → SD = 0 (no spread)
- {8, 9, 10, 11, 12} → small SD
- {1, 3, 10, 17, 19} → large SD
Effect of Adding/Removing Values
- Adding a value equal to the mean → mean unchanged, SD decreases
- Adding an outlier → mean shifts toward outlier, SD increases
- Removing an outlier → mean moves away from outlier, SD decreases
Shape of Distributions
- Right-skewed (tail to right): mean > median
- Left-skewed (tail to left): mean < median
- Symmetric: mean ≈ median
Deep Dive: Statistics in Action
Worked Example 1: Finding a Missing Value
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Problem | "Five test scores have mean 82. The first four are 78, 85, 92, 71. What is the fifth score?" |
| Total needed | |
| Sum of four | |
| Fifth score |
Worked Example 2: Effect of Removing a Value
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Problem | "Data: {10, 12, 14, 15, 100}. How do mean and median change if 100 is removed?" |
| With 100 | Mean , Median |
| Without 100 | Mean , Median |
| Effect | Mean drops significantly (), median barely changes () |
Adding a Constant vs. Multiplying
| Operation | Effect on Mean | Effect on Median | Effect on SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Add to all values | Mean | Median | SD unchanged |
| Multiply all by | Mean | Median | SD $\times |
SAT favorite: "If every student's score increases by 5 points, what happens to the standard deviation?" → Nothing — adding a constant shifts all values equally.
Skewness Quick Reference
| Shape | Tail Direction | Relationship | Example |
|---|---|---|---|
| Right-skewed | Long tail right | Mean median | Income distribution |
| Left-skewed | Long tail left | Mean median | Easy test scores |
| Symmetric | Equal tails | Mean median | Heights in a population |
Advanced Statistics Problems 🎯
Statistics Quick Check — Select the correct answer.
Part 4 Summary: Statistics
| Measure | What It Tells You | Sensitive to Outliers? |
|---|---|---|
| Mean | Average value | YES |
| Median | Middle value | NO |
| SD | Spread from mean | YES |
| Range | Max − Min | YES |
Key Rules
- Add constant : mean & median shift by , SD unchanged
- Multiply by : mean, median, & SD all multiply by
- Right-skewed → mean median
- Outlier → use median as the better center
Next: Scatterplots and line of best fit →
Part 5: Statistical Modeling
Scatterplots & Line of Best Fit
Part 5 of 7 — Interpreting Trends and Making Predictions
Reading Scatterplots
- Positive association: as x increases, y increases (upward trend)
- Negative association: as x increases, y decreases (downward trend)
- No association: no visible pattern
Line/Curve of Best Fit
The line that minimizes the total distance from all points. Key interpretations:
- Slope = rate of change (For each 1-unit increase in x, y changes by [slope])
- y-intercept = predicted y-value when x = 0
Making Predictions
Use the equation to predict values:
- If y = 2.3x + 15 models study hours vs. test score:
- 10 hours → predicted score: 2.3(10) + 15 = 38
Interpolation vs. Extrapolation
- Interpolation (within data range): reliable predictions
- Extrapolation (beyond data range): unreliable — the trend may not continue
Residuals
Residual = actual – predicted
- Positive residual: actual is above the line
- Negative residual: actual is below the line
- Random residuals → good model
- Patterned residuals (curved) → wrong model type
Deep Dive: Scatterplot Analysis
Worked Example 1: Interpreting Slope in Context
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Model | where = years of experience, = weekly earnings ($) |
| Slope meaning | For each additional year of experience, weekly earnings increase by $3.50. |
| y-intercept | A worker with 0 years of experience earns $120/week. |
| SAT phrasing | "The estimated increase in weekly earnings for each additional year of experience" |
Worked Example 2: Choosing the Best Model
| Data Pattern | Best Model | How to Tell |
|---|---|---|
| Straight upward trend | Linear () | Residuals are random |
| Curve (increasing rate) | Exponential () | Residuals show U-pattern for linear |
| Curve (decreasing rate) | Logarithmic or square root | Curve levels off |
| Ups and downs | Quadratic () | Parabolic residual pattern |
Correlation Coefficient ()
| Value | Strength | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Perfect | Positive | |
| Strong | Positive | |
| Moderate | Positive | |
| Weak | Positive | |
| None | — | |
| Same scale, opposite direction | Negative |
SAT key fact: = proportion of variation in explained by . If , then , meaning 64% of the variation is explained.
Advanced Scatterplot Problems 🎯
Scatterplot Interpretation — Select the correct answer.
Part 5 Summary: Scatterplots & Best Fit
| Concept | Key Fact |
|---|---|
| Slope | Rate of change in context |
| y-intercept | Predicted value when |
| Residual | Actual − predicted |
| Strength and direction of linear relationship | |
| Proportion of variation explained | |
| Random residuals | Good model fit |
| Patterned residuals | Try different model type |
| Interpolation | Reliable (within data range) |
| Extrapolation | Unreliable (beyond data range) |
Next: Probability and expected value →
Part 6: Problem-Solving Workshop
Probability & Predictions
Part 6 of 7 — SAT Probability Essentials
The digital SAT keeps probability concrete: counts, tables, and proportions, always in plain words. You will never see formal notation like P(A|B) or union/intersection symbols on the test.
Basic Probability
"NOT" Questions
The probability something does NOT happen is 1 minus the probability it does — or just count the non-favorable outcomes directly.
Example: 4 red, 6 blue, 5 green marbles. P(not red) — count the 11 non-red marbles: .
The Three SAT Probability Setups
- From a table: "If a student is selected at random from those who…"
- From counts: "A bag holds 3 red and 5 blue marbles…"
- From a survey: "Based on the results, what proportion…"
Predicting a Count ("how many would you expect")
Example: 200 people surveyed, 35% prefer A → expect of the next 200 to prefer A.
Relative Frequency
Just another word for proportion:
Deep Dive: Table Probability — the SAT's Favorite Question
Worked Example 1: One Cell Over the Grand Total
| Passed | Did Not Pass | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attended review | 32 | 8 | 40 |
| Skipped review | 18 | 22 | 40 |
| Total | 50 | 30 | 80 |
"If a student is selected at random from all 80, what is the probability the student attended the review AND passed?"
One cell over the grand total: .
Worked Example 2: The "From" Rule (conditional, in words)
"If a student is selected at random from those who SKIPPED the review, what is the probability the student passed?"
"From those who skipped" restricts you to that row: .
The word after "from" names your denominator. This is exactly how the SAT asks conditional probability — no notation, just words.
Worked Example 3: Predicting a Count
"In a random sample, 42% prefer Brand A. If 500 people are surveyed from the same population, how many would you expect to prefer Brand A?"
people.
SAT Probability from Tables — the Full Playbook
- No restriction ("from all participants"): cell ÷ grand total
- Restricted group ("from the seniors" / "from those who said yes"): cell ÷ that row or column total
- "NOT": count the other cells, or use 1 minus
Table Probability Problems 🎯
Pick the Right Denominator — Match each question to the correct setup.
Part 6 Summary: Probability
| Question type | Setup | Key words |
|---|---|---|
| Basic | Favorable ÷ total | "probability of" |
| NOT | Count the other outcomes (or 1 minus) | "not", "does not" |
| Table, unrestricted | Cell ÷ grand total | "from all…" |
| Table, restricted | Cell ÷ row or column total | "from those who…" |
| Compare groups | Compute each group's rate | "more likely" |
| Predict a count | Total × proportion | "how many would you expect" |
- The word "from" names your denominator — that's the whole skill
- The SAT never uses P(A|B) or ∪/∩ symbols — everything is words and tables
Next: Comprehensive review and mixed practice →
Part 7: Review & Applications
Problem Solving & Data Review
Part 7 of 7 — Mixed Practice & Strategy
Topic Checklist
✓ Ratios, rates, proportions, and unit conversion ✓ Percent increase/decrease and successive changes ✓ Two-way tables and conditional probability ✓ Mean, median, standard deviation, and outliers ✓ Scatterplots, line of best fit, and residuals ✓ Probability from tables and predicting counts
SAT Strategy for This Section
- Read the question last — scan the table/graph first to understand the data
- Identify what the denominators should be — marginal vs. conditional probability
- Watch for traps: part-to-part vs. part-to-whole ratios
- Use estimation — if a scatterplot has a clear trend, estimate before calculating
Common Mistakes
- Confusing "percent increase" with "percentage points"
- Using the wrong total for conditional probability
- Forgetting that percent change compounds (not additive)
- Extrapolating beyond the data range when the question asks for interpolation
Deep Dive: Mixed SAT Data Problems
Worked Example 1: Multi-Concept Problem
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Problem | "A dataset's mean is 50 and SD is 8. Every value is doubled then 10 is added. Find the new mean and SD." |
| Double | Mean , SD |
| Add 10 | Mean , SD (unchanged by adding) |
| Answer | New mean , new SD |
Worked Example 2: Comprehensive Table + Probability
| Step | Work |
|---|---|
| Problem | "150 students surveyed: 60 prefer A, 50 prefer B, 40 prefer C. Of the A-preferrers, 40 are juniors. Selected at random from the A-preferrers, what is the probability of a junior?" |
| Restrict | "From the A-preferrers" → denominator |
| Answer |
SAT Problem Solving Cheat Sheet
| Topic | Key Formula | Common Trap |
|---|---|---|
| Ratios | Part total | Part:part vs. part:whole |
| Percents | Multiplier method | Successive changes compound |
| Two-way tables | Conditional → use subtotal | Wrong denominator |
| Mean | Outliers distort | |
| SD | Spread from mean | Add constant → SD unchanged |
| Scatterplots | Slope = rate of change | Extrapolation ≠ interpolation |
| Probability | Complement for "at least one" | With vs. without replacement |
Time Management for This Section
| Difficulty | Time Budget | Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Easy (direct read from table) | 30 sec | Read carefully, answer |
| Medium (one calculation) | 60 sec | Set up, solve, check |
| Hard (multi-step) | 90 sec | Plan approach first |
| Very hard (trap question) | 90+ sec | Skip, flag, return |
SAT Problem Solving Challenge 🎯
Problem Solving Quick Check — Select the correct answer.
Full Topic Summary: Problem Solving & Data
| Part | Topic | Must-Know |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ratios & Proportions | Part:whole, cross-multiply, unit rates |
| 2 | Percentages | Multiplier method, successive changes compound |
| 3 | Two-Way Tables | Marginal vs. conditional vs. joint probability |
| 4 | Statistics | Mean/median/SD, outlier effects, skewness |
| 5 | Scatterplots | Slope in context, residuals, and |
| 6 | Probability | Tables, "from" rule, NOT questions, predicting counts |
| 7 | Review | Decision framework, time management, traps |
Top Strategies
- Read the question carefully — identify what the denominator should be
- Use multipliers for percent problems
- Complement for "at least one" probability
- Median when data has outliers
- Check your answer — does it make sense in context?
🎉 Problem Solving & Data complete!