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Probability and Two-Way Tables

Calculate probabilities from two-way tables and counting principles.

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Probability and Two-Way Tables on the SAT

Basic Probability

$\text{Probability of event} = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of possible outcomes}}$$

  • Probability is always between 0 and 1 (or 0% and 100%)
  • P=0P = 0: impossible
  • P=1P = 1: certain

Two-Way Tables (Contingency Tables)

A two-way table organizes data by two categorical variables.

Example:

Likes PizzaDoesn't Like PizzaTotal
Students451560
Teachers201030
Total652590

Reading the Table

  • Row totals are on the right
  • Column totals are on the bottom
  • Grand total is bottom-right

Types of Probability from Two-Way Tables

Joint Probability

The probability of two specific categories together.

Probability of Student AND Likes Pizza=4590=12\text{Probability of Student AND Likes Pizza} = \frac{45}{90} = \frac{1}{2}

The denominator is the grand total.

Marginal Probability

The probability of just one category.

Probability of Student=6090=23\text{Probability of Student} = \frac{60}{90} = \frac{2}{3}

Probability of Likes Pizza=6590=1318\text{Probability of Likes Pizza} = \frac{65}{90} = \frac{13}{18}

Conditional Probability

The probability of one event GIVEN another has occurred.

Selected from the students: probability of liking pizza =4560=34= \frac{45}{60} = \frac{3}{4}

Key: The denominator is the subtotal of the given condition, not the grand total!

Selected from those who like pizza: probability of being a student =4565=913= \frac{45}{65} = \frac{9}{13}


Conditional Probability Formula

The "from" rule: the group named after "from" (or "given") becomes your denominator — its row or column total, not the grand total. The SAT always words it this way; you will not see formal notation on the test.

The SAT usually tests this with two-way tables rather than the formula directly.


Complement Rule

P(NOT A)=1−P(A)P(\text{NOT } A) = 1 - P(A)

If the probability of rain is 0.3, the probability of no rain is 1−0.3=0.71 - 0.3 = 0.7.


SAT Question Types

Type 1: "What is the probability that a randomly selected person...?"

  • Identify the numerator (favorable outcomes) and denominator (total)
  • Watch for whether it's conditional ("...given that they are a student")

Type 2: "What fraction of [group] are [category]?"

This is conditional probability. The denominator is the SIZE of the given group.

Type 3: "Which group has a higher proportion of...?"

Compare conditional probabilities between groups.

Type 4: Complete a Two-Way Table

Fill in missing values using row/column totals. Every row and column must add up.


Common SAT Mistakes

  1. Using the wrong denominator — the #1 mistake! For conditional probability, use the row/column total, NOT the grand total
  2. Confusing "and" with "given/from" — "junior AND walks" uses the grand total; "selected from the juniors" uses the junior total
  3. Misreading which row/column represents which category
  4. Not simplifying fractions when answer choices are simplified
  5. Forgetting the complement — sometimes it's easier to calculate 1−P(not happening)1 - P(\text{not happening})

📚 Practice Problems

1Problem 1easy

❓ Question:

A bag contains 5 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 2 green marbles. What is the probability of randomly selecting a blue marble?

💡 Show Solution

Step 1: Count total marbles: 5+3+2=105 + 3 + 2 = 10

Step 2: Apply the probability formula: $\text{Probability of blue} = \frac{\text{blue marbles}}{\text{total marbles}} = \frac{3}{10}$$

Answer: 310\frac{3}{10} or 0.30.3 or 30%30\%

2Problem 2easy

❓ Question:

A bag contains 5 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 2 green marbles. What is the probability of randomly selecting a blue marble?

💡 Show Solution

Step 1: Count total marbles: 5+3+2=105 + 3 + 2 = 10

Step 2: Apply the probability formula: $\text{Probability of blue} = \frac{\text{blue marbles}}{\text{total marbles}} = \frac{3}{10}$$

Answer: 310\frac{3}{10} or 0.30.3 or 30%30\%

3Problem 3easy

❓ Question:

A bag contains 5 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 2 green marbles. What is the probability of randomly selecting a blue marble?

💡 Show Solution

Step 1: Count total marbles: 5+3+2=105 + 3 + 2 = 10

Step 2: Apply the probability formula: $\text{Probability of blue} = \frac{\text{blue marbles}}{\text{total marbles}} = \frac{3}{10}$$

Answer: 310\frac{3}{10} or 0.30.3 or 30%30\%

4Problem 4medium

❓ Question:

Use the table below:

PassedFailedTotal
Studied42850
Did Not Study183250
Total6040100

What is the probability that a student passed, given that they studied?

💡 Show Solution

Key: This is a conditional probability question because of the phrase "given that they studied."

Step 1: Identify the condition: "given that they studied" means we only look at the "Studied" row.

Step 2: The denominator is the total who studied: 50 The numerator is those who studied AND passed: 42

From those who studied: 4250=2125=0.84\text{From those who studied: } \frac{42}{50} = \frac{21}{25} = 0.84

Answer: 2125\frac{21}{25} or 84%84\%

Common mistake: Using 100 as the denominator (that would give the joint probability, not the conditional probability).

5Problem 5medium

❓ Question:

Use the table below:

PassedFailedTotal
Studied42850
Did Not Study183250
Total6040100

What is the probability that a student passed, given that they studied?

💡 Show Solution

Key: This is a conditional probability question because of the phrase "given that they studied."

Step 1: Identify the condition: "given that they studied" means we only look at the "Studied" row.

Step 2: The denominator is the total who studied: 50 The numerator is those who studied AND passed: 42

From those who studied: 4250=2125=0.84\text{From those who studied: } \frac{42}{50} = \frac{21}{25} = 0.84

Answer: 2125\frac{21}{25} or 84%84\%

Common mistake: Using 100 as the denominator (that would give the joint probability, not the conditional probability).

6Problem 6medium

❓ Question:

Use the table below:

PassedFailedTotal
Studied42850
Did Not Study183250
Total6040100

What is the probability that a student passed, given that they studied?

💡 Show Solution

Key: This is a conditional probability question because of the phrase "given that they studied."

Step 1: Identify the condition: "given that they studied" means we only look at the "Studied" row.

Step 2: The denominator is the total who studied: 50 The numerator is those who studied AND passed: 42

From those who studied: 4250=2125=0.84\text{From those who studied: } \frac{42}{50} = \frac{21}{25} = 0.84

Answer: 2125\frac{21}{25} or 84%84\%

Common mistake: Using 100 as the denominator (that would give the joint probability, not the conditional probability).

7Problem 7medium

❓ Question:

Using the same table above, what fraction of students who passed had studied?

💡 Show Solution

Key: This question asks "of those who passed" — so the condition is passing.

Step 1: The denominator is the total who passed: 60 The numerator is those who passed AND studied: 42

From those who passed: 4260=710\text{From those who passed: } \frac{42}{60} = \frac{7}{10}

Answer: 710\frac{7}{10}

Important: Notice this is DIFFERENT from the previous question! P(Passed∣Studied)=4250P(\text{Passed} | \text{Studied}) = \frac{42}{50} but P(Studied∣Passed)=4260P(\text{Studied} | \text{Passed}) = \frac{42}{60}. The order matters in conditional probability!

8Problem 8medium

❓ Question:

Using the same table above, what fraction of students who passed had studied?

💡 Show Solution

Key: This question asks "of those who passed" — so the condition is passing.

Step 1: The denominator is the total who passed: 60 The numerator is those who passed AND studied: 42

From those who passed: 4260=710\text{From those who passed: } \frac{42}{60} = \frac{7}{10}

Answer: 710\frac{7}{10}

Important: Notice this is DIFFERENT from the previous question! P(Passed∣Studied)=4250P(\text{Passed} | \text{Studied}) = \frac{42}{50} but P(Studied∣Passed)=4260P(\text{Studied} | \text{Passed}) = \frac{42}{60}. The order matters in conditional probability!

9Problem 9medium

❓ Question:

Using the same table above, what fraction of students who passed had studied?

💡 Show Solution

Key: This question asks "of those who passed" — so the condition is passing.

Step 1: The denominator is the total who passed: 60 The numerator is those who passed AND studied: 42

From those who passed: 4260=710\text{From those who passed: } \frac{42}{60} = \frac{7}{10}

Answer: 710\frac{7}{10}

Important: Notice this is DIFFERENT from the previous question! P(Passed∣Studied)=4250P(\text{Passed} | \text{Studied}) = \frac{42}{50} but P(Studied∣Passed)=4260P(\text{Studied} | \text{Passed}) = \frac{42}{60}. The order matters in conditional probability!

10Problem 10hard

❓ Question:

A survey asked 200 people about their exercise habits and diet:

Exercises RegularlyDoes Not ExerciseTotal
Healthy Diet65?100
Unhealthy Diet?60?
Total??200

Complete the table and find the probability that a randomly selected person exercises regularly OR has a healthy diet.

💡 Show Solution

Step 1: Fill in the table.

Healthy Diet row: Does Not Exercise = 100−65=35100 - 65 = 35 Unhealthy Diet total = 200−100=100200 - 100 = 100 Unhealthy Diet, Exercises = 100−60=40100 - 60 = 40 Exercises total = 65+40=10565 + 40 = 105 Does Not Exercise total = 35+60=9535 + 60 = 95

Completed table:

ExercisesDoesn'tTotal
Healthy6535100
Unhealthy4060100
Total10595200

Step 2: Find P(Exercises OR Healthy Diet)P(\text{Exercises OR Healthy Diet})

Use the inclusion-exclusion principle: Counting 'A or B': add the two groups, then subtract the overlap once (it was counted twice). =105200+100200−65200=140200=710= \frac{105}{200} + \frac{100}{200} - \frac{65}{200} = \frac{140}{200} = \frac{7}{10}

Answer: 710\frac{7}{10} or 70%70\%

11Problem 11hard

❓ Question:

A survey asked 200 people about their exercise habits and diet:

Exercises RegularlyDoes Not ExerciseTotal
Healthy Diet65?100
Unhealthy Diet?60?
Total??200

Complete the table and find the probability that a randomly selected person exercises regularly OR has a healthy diet.

💡 Show Solution

Step 1: Fill in the table.

Healthy Diet row: Does Not Exercise = 100−65=35100 - 65 = 35 Unhealthy Diet total = 200−100=100200 - 100 = 100 Unhealthy Diet, Exercises = 100−60=40100 - 60 = 40 Exercises total = 65+40=10565 + 40 = 105 Does Not Exercise total = 35+60=9535 + 60 = 95

Completed table:

ExercisesDoesn'tTotal
Healthy6535100
Unhealthy4060100
Total10595200

Step 2: Find P(Exercises OR Healthy Diet)P(\text{Exercises OR Healthy Diet})

Use the inclusion-exclusion principle: Counting 'A or B': add the two groups, then subtract the overlap once (it was counted twice). =105200+100200−65200=140200=710= \frac{105}{200} + \frac{100}{200} - \frac{65}{200} = \frac{140}{200} = \frac{7}{10}

Answer: 710\frac{7}{10} or 70%70\%

12Problem 12hard

❓ Question:

A survey asked 200 people about their exercise habits and diet:

Exercises RegularlyDoes Not ExerciseTotal
Healthy Diet65?100
Unhealthy Diet?60?
Total??200

Complete the table and find the probability that a randomly selected person exercises regularly OR has a healthy diet.

💡 Show Solution

Step 1: Fill in the table.

Healthy Diet row: Does Not Exercise = 100−65=35100 - 65 = 35 Unhealthy Diet total = 200−100=100200 - 100 = 100 Unhealthy Diet, Exercises = 100−60=40100 - 60 = 40 Exercises total = 65+40=10565 + 40 = 105 Does Not Exercise total = 35+60=9535 + 60 = 95

Completed table:

ExercisesDoesn'tTotal
Healthy6535100
Unhealthy4060100
Total10595200

Step 2: Find P(Exercises OR Healthy Diet)P(\text{Exercises OR Healthy Diet})

Use the inclusion-exclusion principle: Counting 'A or B': add the two groups, then subtract the overlap once (it was counted twice). =105200+100200−65200=140200=710= \frac{105}{200} + \frac{100}{200} - \frac{65}{200} = \frac{140}{200} = \frac{7}{10}

Answer: 710\frac{7}{10} or 70%70\%

13Problem 13expert

❓ Question:

In a class, the probability of a student playing basketball is 0.4, the probability of playing soccer is 0.3, and the probability of playing both is 0.1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen student plays basketball but NOT soccer?

💡 Show Solution

Step 1: Use the relationship: $\text{Probability of Basketball only} = P(\text{Basketball}) - P(\text{Basketball AND Soccer}) = 0.4 - 0.1 = 0.3$$

Step 2: Verify with a Venn diagram mental model:

  • Basketball only: 0.3
  • Soccer only: 0.3−0.1=0.20.3 - 0.1 = 0.2
  • Both: 0.1
  • Neither: 1−(0.3+0.2+0.1)=0.41 - (0.3 + 0.2 + 0.1) = 0.4

All probabilities sum to 1: 0.3+0.2+0.1+0.4=10.3 + 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.4 = 1 ✓

Answer: 0.30.3 or 30%30\%

SAT Tip: "A but NOT B" means subtract the overlap from A's probability.

14Problem 14expert

❓ Question:

In a class, the probability of a student playing basketball is 0.4, the probability of playing soccer is 0.3, and the probability of playing both is 0.1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen student plays basketball but NOT soccer?

💡 Show Solution

Step 1: Use the relationship: $\text{Probability of Basketball only} = P(\text{Basketball}) - P(\text{Basketball AND Soccer}) = 0.4 - 0.1 = 0.3$$

Step 2: Verify with a Venn diagram mental model:

  • Basketball only: 0.3
  • Soccer only: 0.3−0.1=0.20.3 - 0.1 = 0.2
  • Both: 0.1
  • Neither: 1−(0.3+0.2+0.1)=0.41 - (0.3 + 0.2 + 0.1) = 0.4

All probabilities sum to 1: 0.3+0.2+0.1+0.4=10.3 + 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.4 = 1 ✓

Answer: 0.30.3 or 30%30\%

SAT Tip: "A but NOT B" means subtract the overlap from A's probability.

15Problem 15expert

❓ Question:

In a class, the probability of a student playing basketball is 0.4, the probability of playing soccer is 0.3, and the probability of playing both is 0.1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen student plays basketball but NOT soccer?

💡 Show Solution

Step 1: Use the relationship: $\text{Probability of Basketball only} = P(\text{Basketball}) - P(\text{Basketball AND Soccer}) = 0.4 - 0.1 = 0.3$$

Step 2: Verify with a Venn diagram mental model:

  • Basketball only: 0.3
  • Soccer only: 0.3−0.1=0.20.3 - 0.1 = 0.2
  • Both: 0.1
  • Neither: 1−(0.3+0.2+0.1)=0.41 - (0.3 + 0.2 + 0.1) = 0.4

All probabilities sum to 1: 0.3+0.2+0.1+0.4=10.3 + 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.4 = 1 ✓

Answer: 0.30.3 or 30%30\%

SAT Tip: "A but NOT B" means subtract the overlap from A's probability.

Explain using:

📌 Related Topics in Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What is Probability and Two-Way Tables?▾
Calculate probabilities from two-way tables and counting principles.
How can I study Probability and Two-Way Tables effectively?▾
Start by reading the study notes and working through the examples on this page. Then use the flashcards to test your recall. Practice with the 15 problems provided, checking solutions as you go. Regular review and active practice are key to retention.
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Yes — all study notes, flashcards, and practice problems for Probability and Two-Way Tables on Study Mondo are free to access. No account is needed.
What course covers Probability and Two-Way Tables?▾
Probability and Two-Way Tables is part of the SAT Prep course on Study Mondo, specifically in the Problem-Solving and Data Analysis section. You can explore the full course for more related topics and practice resources.
Are there practice problems for Probability and Two-Way Tables?▾
Yes, this page includes 15 practice problems with detailed solutions. Each problem includes a step-by-step explanation to help you understand the approach.