Probability and Two-Way Tables
Calculate probabilities from two-way tables and counting principles.
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Probability and Two-Way Tables on the SAT
Basic Probability
$\text{Probability of event} = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of possible outcomes}}$$
- Probability is always between 0 and 1 (or 0% and 100%)
- : impossible
- : certain
Two-Way Tables (Contingency Tables)
A two-way table organizes data by two categorical variables.
Example:
| Likes Pizza | Doesn't Like Pizza | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Students | 45 | 15 | 60 |
| Teachers | 20 | 10 | 30 |
| Total | 65 | 25 | 90 |
Reading the Table
- Row totals are on the right
- Column totals are on the bottom
- Grand total is bottom-right
Types of Probability from Two-Way Tables
Joint Probability
The probability of two specific categories together.
The denominator is the grand total.
Marginal Probability
The probability of just one category.
Conditional Probability
The probability of one event GIVEN another has occurred.
Selected from the students: probability of liking pizza
Key: The denominator is the subtotal of the given condition, not the grand total!
Selected from those who like pizza: probability of being a student
Conditional Probability Formula
The "from" rule: the group named after "from" (or "given") becomes your denominator — its row or column total, not the grand total. The SAT always words it this way; you will not see formal notation on the test.
The SAT usually tests this with two-way tables rather than the formula directly.
Complement Rule
If the probability of rain is 0.3, the probability of no rain is .
SAT Question Types
Type 1: "What is the probability that a randomly selected person...?"
- Identify the numerator (favorable outcomes) and denominator (total)
- Watch for whether it's conditional ("...given that they are a student")
Type 2: "What fraction of [group] are [category]?"
This is conditional probability. The denominator is the SIZE of the given group.
Type 3: "Which group has a higher proportion of...?"
Compare conditional probabilities between groups.
Type 4: Complete a Two-Way Table
Fill in missing values using row/column totals. Every row and column must add up.
Common SAT Mistakes
- Using the wrong denominator — the #1 mistake! For conditional probability, use the row/column total, NOT the grand total
- Confusing "and" with "given/from" — "junior AND walks" uses the grand total; "selected from the juniors" uses the junior total
- Misreading which row/column represents which category
- Not simplifying fractions when answer choices are simplified
- Forgetting the complement — sometimes it's easier to calculate
📚 Practice Problems
1Problem 1easy
❓ Question:
A bag contains 5 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 2 green marbles. What is the probability of randomly selecting a blue marble?
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Count total marbles:
Step 2: Apply the probability formula: $\text{Probability of blue} = \frac{\text{blue marbles}}{\text{total marbles}} = \frac{3}{10}$$
Answer: or or
2Problem 2easy
❓ Question:
A bag contains 5 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 2 green marbles. What is the probability of randomly selecting a blue marble?
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Count total marbles:
Step 2: Apply the probability formula: $\text{Probability of blue} = \frac{\text{blue marbles}}{\text{total marbles}} = \frac{3}{10}$$
Answer: or or
3Problem 3easy
❓ Question:
A bag contains 5 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 2 green marbles. What is the probability of randomly selecting a blue marble?
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Count total marbles:
Step 2: Apply the probability formula: $\text{Probability of blue} = \frac{\text{blue marbles}}{\text{total marbles}} = \frac{3}{10}$$
Answer: or or
4Problem 4medium
❓ Question:
Use the table below:
| Passed | Failed | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Studied | 42 | 8 | 50 |
| Did Not Study | 18 | 32 | 50 |
| Total | 60 | 40 | 100 |
What is the probability that a student passed, given that they studied?
💡 Show Solution
Key: This is a conditional probability question because of the phrase "given that they studied."
Step 1: Identify the condition: "given that they studied" means we only look at the "Studied" row.
Step 2: The denominator is the total who studied: 50 The numerator is those who studied AND passed: 42
Answer: or
Common mistake: Using 100 as the denominator (that would give the joint probability, not the conditional probability).
5Problem 5medium
❓ Question:
Use the table below:
| Passed | Failed | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Studied | 42 | 8 | 50 |
| Did Not Study | 18 | 32 | 50 |
| Total | 60 | 40 | 100 |
What is the probability that a student passed, given that they studied?
💡 Show Solution
Key: This is a conditional probability question because of the phrase "given that they studied."
Step 1: Identify the condition: "given that they studied" means we only look at the "Studied" row.
Step 2: The denominator is the total who studied: 50 The numerator is those who studied AND passed: 42
Answer: or
Common mistake: Using 100 as the denominator (that would give the joint probability, not the conditional probability).
6Problem 6medium
❓ Question:
Use the table below:
| Passed | Failed | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Studied | 42 | 8 | 50 |
| Did Not Study | 18 | 32 | 50 |
| Total | 60 | 40 | 100 |
What is the probability that a student passed, given that they studied?
💡 Show Solution
Key: This is a conditional probability question because of the phrase "given that they studied."
Step 1: Identify the condition: "given that they studied" means we only look at the "Studied" row.
Step 2: The denominator is the total who studied: 50 The numerator is those who studied AND passed: 42
Answer: or
Common mistake: Using 100 as the denominator (that would give the joint probability, not the conditional probability).
7Problem 7medium
❓ Question:
Using the same table above, what fraction of students who passed had studied?
💡 Show Solution
Key: This question asks "of those who passed" — so the condition is passing.
Step 1: The denominator is the total who passed: 60 The numerator is those who passed AND studied: 42
Answer:
Important: Notice this is DIFFERENT from the previous question! but . The order matters in conditional probability!
8Problem 8medium
❓ Question:
Using the same table above, what fraction of students who passed had studied?
💡 Show Solution
Key: This question asks "of those who passed" — so the condition is passing.
Step 1: The denominator is the total who passed: 60 The numerator is those who passed AND studied: 42
Answer:
Important: Notice this is DIFFERENT from the previous question! but . The order matters in conditional probability!
9Problem 9medium
❓ Question:
Using the same table above, what fraction of students who passed had studied?
💡 Show Solution
Key: This question asks "of those who passed" — so the condition is passing.
Step 1: The denominator is the total who passed: 60 The numerator is those who passed AND studied: 42
Answer:
Important: Notice this is DIFFERENT from the previous question! but . The order matters in conditional probability!
10Problem 10hard
❓ Question:
A survey asked 200 people about their exercise habits and diet:
| Exercises Regularly | Does Not Exercise | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthy Diet | 65 | ? | 100 |
| Unhealthy Diet | ? | 60 | ? |
| Total | ? | ? | 200 |
Complete the table and find the probability that a randomly selected person exercises regularly OR has a healthy diet.
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Fill in the table.
Healthy Diet row: Does Not Exercise = Unhealthy Diet total = Unhealthy Diet, Exercises = Exercises total = Does Not Exercise total =
Completed table:
| Exercises | Doesn't | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthy | 65 | 35 | 100 |
| Unhealthy | 40 | 60 | 100 |
| Total | 105 | 95 | 200 |
Step 2: Find
Use the inclusion-exclusion principle: Counting 'A or B': add the two groups, then subtract the overlap once (it was counted twice).
Answer: or
11Problem 11hard
❓ Question:
A survey asked 200 people about their exercise habits and diet:
| Exercises Regularly | Does Not Exercise | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthy Diet | 65 | ? | 100 |
| Unhealthy Diet | ? | 60 | ? |
| Total | ? | ? | 200 |
Complete the table and find the probability that a randomly selected person exercises regularly OR has a healthy diet.
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Fill in the table.
Healthy Diet row: Does Not Exercise = Unhealthy Diet total = Unhealthy Diet, Exercises = Exercises total = Does Not Exercise total =
Completed table:
| Exercises | Doesn't | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthy | 65 | 35 | 100 |
| Unhealthy | 40 | 60 | 100 |
| Total | 105 | 95 | 200 |
Step 2: Find
Use the inclusion-exclusion principle: Counting 'A or B': add the two groups, then subtract the overlap once (it was counted twice).
Answer: or
12Problem 12hard
❓ Question:
A survey asked 200 people about their exercise habits and diet:
| Exercises Regularly | Does Not Exercise | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthy Diet | 65 | ? | 100 |
| Unhealthy Diet | ? | 60 | ? |
| Total | ? | ? | 200 |
Complete the table and find the probability that a randomly selected person exercises regularly OR has a healthy diet.
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Fill in the table.
Healthy Diet row: Does Not Exercise = Unhealthy Diet total = Unhealthy Diet, Exercises = Exercises total = Does Not Exercise total =
Completed table:
| Exercises | Doesn't | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthy | 65 | 35 | 100 |
| Unhealthy | 40 | 60 | 100 |
| Total | 105 | 95 | 200 |
Step 2: Find
Use the inclusion-exclusion principle: Counting 'A or B': add the two groups, then subtract the overlap once (it was counted twice).
Answer: or
13Problem 13expert
❓ Question:
In a class, the probability of a student playing basketball is 0.4, the probability of playing soccer is 0.3, and the probability of playing both is 0.1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen student plays basketball but NOT soccer?
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Use the relationship: $\text{Probability of Basketball only} = P(\text{Basketball}) - P(\text{Basketball AND Soccer})= 0.4 - 0.1 = 0.3$$
Step 2: Verify with a Venn diagram mental model:
- Basketball only: 0.3
- Soccer only:
- Both: 0.1
- Neither:
All probabilities sum to 1: ✓
Answer: or
SAT Tip: "A but NOT B" means subtract the overlap from A's probability.
14Problem 14expert
❓ Question:
In a class, the probability of a student playing basketball is 0.4, the probability of playing soccer is 0.3, and the probability of playing both is 0.1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen student plays basketball but NOT soccer?
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Use the relationship: $\text{Probability of Basketball only} = P(\text{Basketball}) - P(\text{Basketball AND Soccer})= 0.4 - 0.1 = 0.3$$
Step 2: Verify with a Venn diagram mental model:
- Basketball only: 0.3
- Soccer only:
- Both: 0.1
- Neither:
All probabilities sum to 1: ✓
Answer: or
SAT Tip: "A but NOT B" means subtract the overlap from A's probability.
15Problem 15expert
❓ Question:
In a class, the probability of a student playing basketball is 0.4, the probability of playing soccer is 0.3, and the probability of playing both is 0.1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen student plays basketball but NOT soccer?
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Use the relationship: $\text{Probability of Basketball only} = P(\text{Basketball}) - P(\text{Basketball AND Soccer})= 0.4 - 0.1 = 0.3$$
Step 2: Verify with a Venn diagram mental model:
- Basketball only: 0.3
- Soccer only:
- Both: 0.1
- Neither:
All probabilities sum to 1: ✓
Answer: or
SAT Tip: "A but NOT B" means subtract the overlap from A's probability.
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