Normal Distributions
Use the Normal distribution, z-scores, and the empirical rule to find probabilities.
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Normal Distributions
Properties of Normal Distributions
The Normal Curve:
- Bell-shaped and symmetric around mean
- Mean = median = mode
- Defined by two parameters: mean μ and standard deviation σ
- Total area under curve = 1 (100% of probability)
Visual Summary:
- Center: mean μ
- Width: controlled by σ (larger σ → wider, flatter)
- Asymptotic: tails approach x-axis but never touch
The 68-95-99.7 Rule
For normally distributed data:
- 68% of data within 1σ of mean: μ ± σ
- 95% of data within 2σ of mean: μ ± 2σ
- 99.7% of data within 3σ of mean: μ ± 3σ
- (remaining 0.3% split equally in two tails)
Example: SAT scores normally distributed with μ = 1000, σ = 200
- 68% score between 800 and 1200
- 95% score between 600 and 1400
- 99.7% score between 400 and 1600
Z-Scores (Standardization)
Formula:
Interpretation:
- z-score = number of standard deviations away from mean
- z > 0: above mean
- z < 0: below mean
- z = 0: at mean
Standardization benefit: transforms any normal distribution into standard normal (μ = 0, σ = 1)
Example: Score x = 1200 on SAT (μ = 1000, σ = 200):
Score is 1 standard deviation above mean.
Finding Normal Probabilities
Using normalcdf(lower, upper, μ, σ):
- Calculates \(P(a < X < b)\) for normal distribution
- Returns area under curve between a and b
Example: SAT scores X ~ N(1000, 200)
- \(P(X < 1200) = P(Z < 1) =\) normalcdf(−999, 1, 0, 1) ≈ 0.8413
Finding Percentiles with invNorm
Using invNorm(percentile, μ, σ):
- Returns value corresponding to given percentile
- Inverse of normalcdf
Example: 90th percentile of SAT scores:
- invNorm(0.90, 1000, 200) ≈ 1256
- 90% of test-takers score below 1256
Worked Example
Scenario: Adult female heights normally distributed with μ = 64 inches, σ = 2.5 inches.
Question 1: What percent of women are taller than 69 inches?
Step 1: Standardize
Step 2: Find probability \(P(X > 69) = P(Z > 2) =\) 1 − normalcdf(−999, 2, 0, 1) ≈ 1 − 0.9772 = 0.0228 or 2.28%
Question 2: What height separates the shortest 25% from the rest?
Step 1: Use invNorm(0.25, 64, 2.5) ≈ 62.32 inches
Interpretation: 25% of women are shorter than 62.32 inches.
Common Student Mistakes
- Wrong z-score direction: \(z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}\), not \(\frac{\mu - x}{\sigma}\)
- Confusing normalcdf and invNorm: normalcdf(value) → probability; invNorm(probability) → value
- Forgetting to standardize: must convert to z-score before using standard normal table
- Area mistakes: P(Z > 2) ≠ P(Z < 2); use complement if needed
- Ignoring context: answer "0.0228" instead of "2.28% of women"
When NOT to Use Normal Model
- Data is clearly skewed (check histogram/boxplot)
- Sample size too small (rule of thumb: n ≥ 30, or visually normal)
- Data has multiple peaks
- Outliers present
AP Exam Tip
On calculator problems:
- Clearly state the distribution: "Let X ~ N(μ, σ)"
- Show your z-score: \(z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}\) = ...
- State calculator function: "Using normalcdf(lower, upper, μ, σ)..."
- Interpret result in context: "Therefore, approximately _____% of SAT scores fall between ___ and ___."
Common FRQ mistake: Not showing work on calculator commands. Examiners want to see setup even if you use calc.
📚 Practice Problems
1Problem 1easy
❓ Question:
The heights of adult men follow a normal distribution with mean 70 inches and standard deviation 2.5 inches. What is the z-score for a man who is 75 inches tall?
💡 Show Solution
The z-score formula is:
where is the value, is the mean, and is the standard deviation.
Interpretation: A height of 75 inches is 2 standard deviations above the mean. This is quite tall but not extremely rare (about 2.3% of men are taller).
2Problem 2medium
❓ Question:
SAT scores are normally distributed with mean 500 and standard deviation 100. What percentage of test-takers score between 400 and 600?
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Find z-scores
For :
For :
Step 2: Use the Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7)
The Empirical Rule states that in a normal distribution:
- 68% of data falls within 1 SD of the mean (between )
- 95% within 2 SDs (between )
- 99.7% within 3 SDs
Since scores between 400 and 600 represent the range from to :
Answer: 68% of test-takers score between 400 and 600.
3Problem 3hard
❓ Question:
A manufacturing process produces bolts with diameter normally distributed: mean = 10 mm, SD = 0.1 mm. The acceptable range is 9.8 to 10.2 mm. What proportion of bolts are acceptable? What z-score defines the upper boundary?
💡 Show Solution
Step 1: Find z-scores for the boundaries
Lower boundary ():
Upper boundary ():
Upper z-score answer: z = +2
Step 2: Find the proportion using Empirical Rule
The range 9.8 to 10.2 is (from -2 to +2 SD).
By the Empirical Rule, 95% of bolts fall within 2 standard deviations.
Step 3: Find proportion outside acceptable range
Proportion defective = 100% − 95% = 5%
This means 2.5% are too small (below 9.8) and 2.5% are too large (above 10.2).
Interpretation: The process produces about 95 acceptable bolts per 100, leaving a 5% defect rate. The manufacturer might adjust the process to center it more tightly or reduce SD.
⚠️ Common Mistakes: Normal Distributions
Avoid these 3 frequent errors
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