Normal Distributions

Use the Normal distribution, z-scores, and the empirical rule to find probabilities.

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Normal Distributions

The Normal Curve

A Normal distribution is a continuous probability distribution that is:

  • Symmetric and bell-shaped
  • Defined by two parameters: mean μ\mu and standard deviation σ\sigma
  • Notation: XN(μ,σ)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma)

The Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7 Rule)

For any Normal distribution:

  • 68% of data falls within μ±1σ\mu \pm 1\sigma
  • 95% of data falls within μ±2σ\mu \pm 2\sigma
  • 99.7% of data falls within μ±3σ\mu \pm 3\sigma

Z-Scores (Standard Normal)

A z-score tells how many standard deviations a value is from the mean:

z=xμσz = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}

The Standard Normal distribution has μ=0\mu = 0 and σ=1\sigma = 1: ZN(0,1)Z \sim N(0, 1)

Interpretation: A z-score of 1.5 means the value is 1.5 standard deviations above the mean.

Finding Probabilities

To find P(X<a)P(X < a) for XN(μ,σ)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma):

  1. Standardize: z=aμσz = \frac{a - \mu}{\sigma}
  2. Use the Standard Normal table (Table A) or calculator
  3. P(X<a)=P(Z<z)P(X < a) = P(Z < z)

Calculator: normalcdf(lower, upper, μ\mu, σ\sigma)

Finding Values from Probabilities (Inverse Normal)

Given a probability pp, find the value xx such that P(X<x)=pP(X < x) = p:

  1. Find zz^* from Table A (look up pp in the body)
  2. Unstandardize: x=μ+zσx = \mu + z^* \cdot \sigma

Calculator: invNorm(pp, μ\mu, σ\sigma)

Assessing Normality

Methods to check if data follows a Normal distribution:

  1. Histogram/Dotplot: Should be roughly symmetric, bell-shaped
  2. Normal Probability Plot (NPP): Points should fall approximately along a straight line
  3. Empirical Rule check: ~68% within 1 SD, ~95% within 2 SD

AP Tip: Always state the distribution, show the z-score calculation, and sketch the curve with the area shaded when solving Normal distribution problems.

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